Wimbledon Quarter Bets and Day 1 Plays

Wimbledon Preview and Day 1 Plays

It's finally time for what most consider the most prestigious tennis tournament in the world. Below briefly breakdown each quarter of the men's and women's draws, along with some suggested quarter bets. These bets are meant to be long shots with big upside and value. We recommend betting no more than 0.5 units on each, and even less would be fine.

One more reminder as well to enter our Wimbledon Bracket Challenge for FREE for your chances to win cash prizes. You can enter here: https://www.sharpcircle.bet Click on “Games” and fill out your brackets before the main draw tomorrow!

Now onto the predictions...please note that there are likely better prices out there for some of these so be sure to shop around!

Gentlemens

Quarter 1: Musetti +1100

Is it more likely than not that Sinner comes out of this quarter? Yes. Is it also true that the books are overvaluing him? Also yes. While Sinner has been the best player over the last year and change, grass is a surface that can pose some problems and upsets can happen. I think Musetti is being a bit undervalued here having not played any lead up events this season due to injury. At 11/1, I think there is value on Musetti with a decent draw. Don't forget he made the semis here last year beating grass specialist Taylor Fritz in the quarters.

Quarter 2: De Minaur +900

This is probably the most loaded quarter of the draw. I still firmly believe that if De Minaur doesn't get injured in his match vs Fils last year, that he pushes Novak and probably beats him in the QF. This price is just too high in a quarter that is overvaluing Bublik after his level the past month. Draper is of course very solid, but the heat this week could play a factor. De Minaur lost early in Queens and I think this is a big reason why he is being looked over in this quarter. If there is anyone who I think has the chance to come out of this stacked quarter with tons of firepower, its the guy who is a wall at the baseline, doesn't have a flashy game, and can grind you down physically. That is Alex De Minaur.

Quarter 3: Medvedev +350

This isn't the flashy choice, in fact quite the opposite. But Med is just too solid and doesn't make mistakes. I also feel he is pretty determined and has big semifinal points to defend. Zverev is so bad on grass I don't think he can come out of this quarter. Other guys to look at would be Fritz or maybe Diallo. I like Med over Fritz here if they meet in the QFs and I also think Fritz has a harder path to get there.

Quarter 4: Fabio Fognini +15000

Ok just hear me out for a second. I am totally kidding. Not going against Alcaraz lol.

Ladies:

Quarter 1: Vondrousova +500

Not exactly going out on a ledge by picking a former winner here, but that’s kind of the point. We are getting +500 on a former champion who just beat the highest seed in her quarter in straight sets last week. Kind of a no-brainer at this price even if she loses the value is there.

Quarter 2: Anisimova +500

This is a pretty weak quarter with the top seed being last year's runner up Paolini who has not impressed me much this year especially on grass these past couple weeks. Amanda has the power to hit through anyone and if she's on can get through this quarter on grass without having to play super physical matches. I like the price of 5/1 here.

Quarter 3: Bencic +2200

Bencic hasn't done much since her return from having a child and I think she is undervalued as a whole even going back to her previous matches this season. She can certainly play on grass and think she is being pretty widely undervalued here. There are definitely some good players in this quarter but in the WTA, anything an happen and her odds do not match up with her chances to win in my opinion.

Quarter 4: Kostyuk +3300

Definitely not as confident in this quarter but this is a great price on a long shot. Kostyuk can play on grass and has troubled top players in the past. Rybakina likely comes out of here but I think Kostyuk is live against any of these players.

Day 1 Plays

1u Shuai Zhang ML +122 vs. Danilovic (sorry Olga)

1u Wickmayer ML +128 vs. Zarazua

1u Duckworth +5 Games -110 vs. Auger-Aliassime